Poland and Portugal meet in the first Euro 2016 quarter-final later today and, in truth, both sides are yet to really set the competition alight.
The usually free-scoring Robert Lewandowski remains without a goal for his country in France and Portugal’s performances have been characterised by defensive effort rather than the razzle dazzle of Cristiano Ronaldo – a pulsating 3-3 draw with Hungary aside.
Victory over Croatia in the previous round has led to optimism that the wait for a major honour may soon be over for the Portuguese but their bid could well be ended by Poland on Thursday.
Poland emerged from the group stages without conceding, no mean feat considering they were drawn with Germany, and would have kept a shut-out in the last 16 too had it not been for an absolute stunner from Switzerland’s Xherdan Shaqiri late on.
Both teams were taken the distance in the last 16 as Poland needed a penalty shootout to get past the Swiss, while a late Ricardo Quaresma goal in extra-time sealed a win for Portugal against Croatia that looked unlikely for much of the match.
Lewandowski may be without a goal but he did score a penalty against Switzerland and that could have calmed the Bayer Munich man’s nerves, with the striker 17/4 to open the scoring.
My top bet for this match, though, is Poland to win to zero at 7/2 as Portugal have struggled in front of goal despite the presence of Real Madrid’s Ronaldo, while a 2-0 success for Adam Nawlka’s side at 15/1 also appeals.