Anything but a Manchester City win looks unlikely in Sunday’s late game, when they welcome West Ham to the Etihad.
Like lambs to the slaughter, the Hammers go into the game with the aim of ending City’s run of 12 straight Premier League wins but on recent evidence could find themselves in big trouble, and not for the first time this season.
Pep Guardiola’s men have been imperious at times, brushing teams aside with a more dynamic version of the possession-based tactics they displayed in the Spaniard’s first season.
Their total of 44 goals is second only to Paris Saint-Germain around Europe’s top five leagues, while their 66.2 percent possession average is the best on the continent.
Therefore it is no surprise that they are the significant odds-on favourites and will undoubtedly fancy themselves, having claimed a 12-1 aggregate victory over the pair’s three meetings last term.
Bernard Mendy and John Stones remain long-term absentees, while Leroy Sane is a doubt and with Manchester derby looming, both Fernandinho and Vincent Kompany could sit out due to them being on four yellows.
Guardiola may therefore look to rotate but Gabriel Jesus should still start and is 12/5 to score at first.
So what to expect from West Ham? It would be unfair to read too much into David Moyes’ first three games in charge but one point from those fixtures is not good enough.
It is no surprise he is experiencing the same issues as Slaven Bilic and the size of his task on Sunday is perhaps highlighted by his team’s odds of 22/1 for the victory.
Injuries are an issue for the Hammers, with both Andy Carroll and Javier Hernandez missing and with Winston Reid a doubt, it could be open season at one end and not the other, with their tally of 30 goals conceded the worst in the country.
Diafra Sakho’s inclusion could be a bright spot, having scored in West Ham’s unlikely 2-1 win at the Etihad in September 2015.
A repeat outcome is unlikely though and the City win to zero is at 2/3 and seems a sensible choice.