Manchester City have the Premier League title all but wrapped up and the Champions League trophy would make it an extra special season for Pep Guardiola’s men.
They have been handed a tough draw against Liverpool in the quarter-finals and tonight’s tie at Anfield – where they will be without star striker Sergio Aguero – is a huge test, but they can claim a victory and the advantage going into the home leg.
The Reds are the only team to beat City in the Premier League this season as they won a seven-goal thriller 4-3 back in January on Merseyside.
That result is a slight concern, as is City’s poor record at Anfield, but Guardiola’s men won the reverse fixture 5-0 earlier in the season and they can take advantage of a leaky Liverpool defence this evening.
Jurgen Klopp’s men are the Premier League’s second highest scorers behind City, with 75 goals but they have shipped 35 themselves – giving them the worst defensive record of the top five.
The hosts are yet to be beaten in Europe this term but they were handed a fairly kind draw in the group stage before overcoming Porto in the previous round, and City are by far and away the best team they have faced so far.
Liverpool’s form has been a little suspect in recent weeks and they had to come from behind to beat an injury-hit and struggling Crystal Palace at the weekend.
In contrast City have been flying, aside from a Champions League loss to Basel after a 4-0 first leg win, and at 7/5 they look good value to claim a win at Anfield.
Liverpool will know they almost certainly need to score at home to progress, and so the 47/20 on a City win with both teams to score appeals but I’m going to play it a little safer and take the 43/20 on an away win with over 2.5 goals as my top bet for this match-up, as that covers a big City win to nil as well.
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