Mainz host Freiburg in a massive fixture in terms of the Bundesliga relegation battle this evening and Die Nullfunfer may be able to claim what could prove to be a vital three points.
Mainz are currently in 16th spot but would move out of that relegation play-off place by beating Freiburg this evening, as the visitors are three points better off but the Opel Arena side have a superior goal difference.
Both have been in woeful form and head into this key game on the back of respective six-match winless runs. However, Mainz have shown small signs of improvement in recent weeks and they have managed four draws during their winless streak, while Freiburg have lost their last three in a row.
Mainz are 6/5 to claim the victory but I think we can do a little better in this Bundesliga match-up and the 11/5 on a home win to zero is my top bet this evening. Freiburg have failed to score in four of their last five games and Mainz’s defence has been fairly strong with three clean sheets in their last seven outings.
A 1-0 home win at 11/2 could be the way to go in the exact score market as Mainz have only managed 16 goals in 14 home games so far, and they haven’t scored two goals in a game since a win at Hertha Berlin in mid-February.